NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Tuesday 6 October 2026 · The morning after

27 picks. 27 settled, and it was a good day — 16 of 27 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands Tue 6 Oct · 16:02 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.55

We were on the goals here. Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.55 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

2. Estonia v Iceland Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.00

We fancied this one to open up. Close to the market's own view. At 2.00 it was a fair price.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

3. Albania v San Marino Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.17

We were on the goals here. Albania and San Marino had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.17 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

4. Luxembourg v Bulgaria Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Match result - Luxembourg @ 2.30

We were backing Luxembourg at home. They looked the stronger side to us in this one, and at 2.30 it was decent value for the call. Close to the market's own view.

Full time: 0-2. Not to be this time.

5. England v Czech Republic Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 3.5 @ 2.02

We called this one as a low-scoring game. Close to the market's own view. At 2.02 it was a fair price.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

6. Scotland v Slovenia Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.38

We fancied this one to open up. Close to the market's own view. At 2.38 it was decent value.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

7. Croatia v Spain Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 3.5 @ 2.13

We fancied this one to open up. A price that drifted our way. At 2.13 it was decent value.

Full time: 1-2. Not to be this time.

8. Moldova v Slovakia Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.82

We fancied this one to open up. A price that drifted our way. At 1.82 it was a fair price.

Full time: 0-4. That one came in.

9. Switzerland v North Macedonia Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Match result - Switzerland @ 1.12

We were backing Switzerland at home. They looked the stronger side to us in this one, and at 1.12 it was a short one for the call. A price that drifted our way.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

10. Halesowen Town FC v Stafford Rangers FC Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 2.5 @ 2.27

We called this one as a low-scoring game. A price that drifted our way. At 2.27 it was decent value.

Full time: 1-2. Not to be this time.

11. Atherton Collieries AFC v Trafford FC Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 2.5 @ 2.21

We called this one as a low-scoring game. A price that drifted our way. At 2.21 it was decent value.

Full time: 3-0. Not to be this time.

12. Belarus v Finland Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.54

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Belarus and Finland pointed to a lively one, and at 1.54 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

13. Scarborough Athletic FC v Macclesfield Town Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Match result - Macclesfield Town @ 2.38

We were on Macclesfield Town to take this one on the road. At 2.38 it was decent value for the away win. A price that drifted our way.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

14. Spalding United FC v Bury Town FC Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 2.5 @ 1.94

We called this one as a low-scoring game. A price that drifted our way. At 1.94 it was a fair price.

Full time: 4-0. Not to be this time.

15. Wingate and Finchley FC v Bedford Town FC Tue 6 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 2.5 @ 1.93

We called this one as a low-scoring game. A price that drifted our way. At 1.93 it was a fair price.

Full time: 1-3. Not to be this time.

16. Sport Recife v São Bernardo Wed 7 Oct · 00:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.04

We fancied this one to open up. Close to the market's own view. At 2.04 it was a fair price.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

17. Goiás v Athletic Club (MG) Wed 7 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.46

We fancied this one to open up. A modest edge on our numbers. At 2.46 it was decent value.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

18. Chicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps FC Wed 7 Oct · 02:30 SAST Over 3.5 @ 2.24

We fancied this one to open up. A modest edge on our numbers. At 2.24 it was decent value.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

19. Ponte Preta v Juventude Wed 7 Oct · 02:35 SAST Under 2.5 @ 2.06

We called this one as a low-scoring game. Close to the market's own view. At 2.06 it was a fair price.

Full time: 0-2. That one came in.

20. IF Gnistan v FC Inter Turku Wed 7 Oct · 18:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.80

We fancied this one to open up. A price that drifted our way. At 1.80 it was a fair price.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

21. Internacional v Corinthians Thu 8 Oct · 00:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.18

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Internacional and Corinthians pointed to a lively one, and at 2.18 it was decent value for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

22. Avai v Londrina Thu 8 Oct · 00:30 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Avai and Londrina had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

23. Remo v Grêmio Thu 8 Oct · 00:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.91

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Remo and Grêmio pointed to a lively one, and at 1.91 it was a fair price for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-1. Not to be this time.

24. Vitoria v Chapecoense Thu 8 Oct · 01:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.91

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Vitoria and Chapecoense pointed to a lively one, and at 1.91 it was a fair price for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 4-0. That one came in.

25. Vila Nova v Cuiabá Thu 8 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 2.56

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Vila Nova and Cuiabá pointed to a lively one, and at 2.56 it was decent value for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

26. Botafogo v Vasco da Gama Thu 8 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.83

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama pointed to a lively one, and at 1.83 it was a fair price for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

27. Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo Thu 8 Oct · 02:30 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

How the day went

Total published27
Won16 (59%)
Lost11
Void0
Awaiting result0
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