NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Friday 9 October 2026 · The morning after

30 picks. 30 settled, and it was a good day — 18 of 30 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen Fri 9 Oct · 20:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.18

We were on the goals here. PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.18 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. Not to be this time.

2. Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen Fri 9 Oct · 20:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen pointed to a lively one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

3. RC Lens v Lyon Fri 9 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.53

We were on the goals here. RC Lens and Lyon had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.53 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

4. West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers Fri 9 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.50

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between West Ham United and Queens Park Rangers pointed to a lively one, and at 1.50 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-1. Not to be this time.

5. Genoa v Fiorentina Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Genoa and Fiorentina pointed to a lively one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

6. SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. SC Paderborn and VfB Stuttgart had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.36 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-2. Not to be this time.

7. TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. TSG Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.36 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-3. That one came in.

8. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-4. That one came in.

9. Union Berlin v Elversberg Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.53

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Union Berlin and Elversberg pointed to a lively one, and at 1.53 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

10. Preston North End v Millwall Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.25

We were on the goals here. Preston North End and Millwall had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.25 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-1. Not to be this time.

11. Chelsea v Bournemouth Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Chelsea and Bournemouth pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 5-1. That one came in.

12. Aston Villa v Brentford Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Brentford pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

13. Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.23

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Sunderland and Brighton and Hove Albion pointed to a lively one, and at 1.23 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 0-2. That one came in.

14. Sheffield United v Lincoln City Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.30

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Sheffield United and Lincoln City pointed to a lively one, and at 1.30 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

15. Go Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-3. That one came in.

16. Grazer AK v RB Salzburg Sat 10 Oct · 17:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Grazer AK and RB Salzburg pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

17. Lille v Le Havre Sat 10 Oct · 17:15 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Lille and Le Havre had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

18. FC Lugano v FC Luzern Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.33

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and FC Luzern pointed to a lively one, and at 1.33 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 4-0. That one came in.

19. Servette v FC Sion Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Servette and FC Sion pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

20. Inter Milan v Parma Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Inter Milan and Parma pointed to a lively one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

21. RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt Sat 10 Oct · 18:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.29

We were on the goals here. RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.29 that was a short one.

Full time: 6-0. That one came in.

22. Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.40

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar pointed to a lively one, and at 1.40 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-0. Not to be this time.

23. Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente Enschede Sat 10 Oct · 20:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente Enschede had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.36 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. Not to be this time.

24. Chicago Fire v New York City FC Sat 10 Oct · 20:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.60

We were on the goals here. Chicago Fire and New York City FC had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.60 that was a fair price.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

25. Lorient v Paris FC Sat 10 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.30

We were on the goals here. Lorient and Paris FC had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.30 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

26. Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC Sat 10 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans FC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

27. Ajax v NEC Nijmegen Sat 10 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.29

We were on the goals here. Ajax and NEC Nijmegen had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.29 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. Not to be this time.

28. Real Madrid v Villarreal Sat 10 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.29

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Real Madrid and Villarreal pointed to a lively one, and at 1.29 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

29. Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.36 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

30. Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew SC Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.40

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew SC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.40 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

How the day went

Total published30
Won18 (60%)
Lost12
Void0
Awaiting result0
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