NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Thursday 15 October 2026 · The morning after

30 picks. 30 settled, and it was a good day — 26 of 30 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. PFC CSKA Sofia v AS Monaco Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. PFC CSKA Sofia and AS Monaco had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

2. Riga FC v FC Kairat Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We fancied this one to open up. Close to the market's own view. At 1.20 it was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

3. Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Home Win @ 1.37

We liked the look of this one. The read on Mjällby AIF against Inter Club d'Escaldes pointed us to Home Win, and at 1.37 it was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

4. Hajduk Split v Ajax Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Hajduk Split and Ajax pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

5. Gent v AGF Aarhus Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Gent and AGF Aarhus pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

6. FC Lugano v Red Star Belgrade Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and Red Star Belgrade pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

7. KF Egnatia v FC Midtjylland Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.50

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between KF Egnatia and FC Midtjylland pointed to a lively one, and at 1.50 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

8. Panathinaikos FC v FK Borac Banja Luka Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Panathinaikos FC and FK Borac Banja Luka pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

9. Lech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.40

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Lech Poznań and Bayer Leverkusen pointed to a lively one, and at 1.40 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 0-4. That one came in.

10. Salzburg v AC Milan Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Salzburg and AC Milan had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-4. That one came in.

11. Lyon v Crystal Palace Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Lyon and Crystal Palace pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

12. Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Union Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

13. Sparta Prague v Lillestrom Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Sparta Prague and Lillestrom pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

14. AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thu 15 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Be'er Sheva pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

15. Al-Ahli v Al-Nassr Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We fancied this one to open up. A price that drifted our way. At 1.20 it was a short one.

16. FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Home Win @ 1.35

We liked the look of this one. The read on FC Twente Enschede against FC Thun pointed us to Home Win, and at 1.35 it was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. That one came in.

17. Rennes v OFI Crete Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Home Win @ 1.21

We liked the look of this one. The read on Rennes against OFI Crete pointed us to Home Win, and at 1.21 it was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

18. Atalanta BC v Pafos FC Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Home Win @ 1.30

We liked the look of this one. The read on Atalanta BC against Pafos FC pointed us to Home Win, and at 1.30 it was a short one.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

19. Benfica v Celtic Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.33

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Benfica and Celtic pointed to a lively one, and at 1.33 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 4-1. That one came in.

20. Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Sint Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-0. Not to be this time.

21. SK Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between SK Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

22. TSG Hoffenheim v Besiktas JK Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between TSG Hoffenheim and Besiktas JK pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-3. That one came in.

23. FC Copenhagen v SC Braga Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FC Copenhagen and SC Braga pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

24. SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

25. NEC Nijmegen v PFC Levski Sofia Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between NEC Nijmegen and PFC Levski Sofia pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

26. Hearts v FC Nordsjaelland Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Hearts and FC Nordsjaelland pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

27. Jagiellonia Białystok v FC Ararat-Armenia Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Jagiellonia Białystok and FC Ararat-Armenia pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

28. Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

29. Bournemouth v SK Sturm Graz Thu 15 Oct · 21:00 SAST Home Win @ 1.20

We liked the look of this one. The read on Bournemouth against SK Sturm Graz pointed us to Home Win, and at 1.20 it was a short one.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

30. Rapid Wien v Hartberg Fri 16 Oct · 19:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Rapid Wien and Hartberg pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

How the day went

Total published30
Won26 (90%)
Lost3
Void1
Awaiting result0
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