NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Saturday 17 October 2026 · The morning after

30 picks. 30 settled, and it was a good day — 19 of 30 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. Watford v Charlton Athletic Sat 17 Oct · 13:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.21

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Watford and Charlton Athletic pointed to a lively one, and at 1.21 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

2. Espanyol v Atlético Madrid Sat 17 Oct · 14:00 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Espanyol and Atlético Madrid had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-1. That one came in.

3. Venezia v Napoli Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Venezia and Napoli had kept their recent meetings tight — 4 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. That one came in.

4. Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart Sat 17 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

5. Elversberg v Augsburg Sat 17 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Elversberg and Augsburg had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 4-3. That one came in.

6. Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund Sat 17 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

7. FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 Sat 17 Oct · 15:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 0-1. Not to be this time.

8. Manchester City v Ipswich Town Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.30

We were on the goals here. Manchester City and Ipswich Town had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.30 that was a short one.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

9. Southampton v Bolton Wanderers Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Southampton and Bolton Wanderers had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

10. Brentford v Liverpool Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Brentford and Liverpool had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

11. Swansea City v West Ham United Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Swansea City and West Ham United pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 0-1. Not to be this time.

12. Fulham v Hull City Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Fulham and Hull City pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

13. Wrexham AFC v Preston North End Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Wrexham AFC and Preston North End had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 4-1. That one came in.

14. Derby County v Stoke City Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Derby County and Stoke City had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-1. Not to be this time.

15. Villarreal v Elche CF Sat 17 Oct · 16:15 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Villarreal and Elche CF had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

16. ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven Sat 17 Oct · 16:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.25

We were on the goals here. ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.25 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

17. Austria Lustenau v LASK Sat 17 Oct · 17:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.40

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Austria Lustenau and LASK pointed to a lively one, and at 1.40 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 0-4. That one came in.

18. Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain Sat 17 Oct · 17:15 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.33

We were on the goals here. Strasbourg and Paris Saint Germain had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.33 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-3. That one came in.

19. Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig Sat 17 Oct · 18:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.12

We were on the goals here. Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.12 that was a short one.

Full time: 6-1. That one came in.

20. Real Betis v Barcelona Sat 17 Oct · 18:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.22

We were on the goals here. Real Betis and Barcelona had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.22 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-5. That one came in.

21. Newcastle United v Aston Villa Sat 17 Oct · 18:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Newcastle United and Aston Villa had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-1. Not to be this time.

22. SC Telstar v Feyenoord Sat 17 Oct · 20:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between SC Telstar and Feyenoord pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-4. That one came in.

23. Philadelphia Union v Charlotte FC Sat 17 Oct · 20:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.30

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.30 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

24. Lille v Brest Sat 17 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Lille and Brest had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

25. Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II Sat 17 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

26. Valencia v Athletic Bilbao Sat 17 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.32

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao pointed to a lively one, and at 1.32 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 0-0. Not to be this time.

27. Santos Laguna v Querétaro Sun 18 Oct · 01:00 SAST Home or Draw @ 1.30

We were covering two outcomes here — Home or Draw. It was the safer way into this one, and at 1.30 it was a short one.

Full time: 5-0. That one came in.

28. Orlando City SC v D.C. United Sun 18 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.33

We were on the goals here. Orlando City SC and D.C. United had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.33 that was a short one.

Full time: 4-1. That one came in.

29. New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC Sun 18 Oct · 01:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 0-2. Not to be this time.

30. Houston Dynamo v FC Dallas Sun 18 Oct · 02:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.21

We were on the goals here. Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.21 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

How the day went

Total published30
Won19 (63%)
Lost11
Void0
Awaiting result0
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