NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Sunday 18 October 2026 · The morning after

30 picks. 30 settled, and it was a good day — 27 of 30 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. CA Osasuna v Real Racing Club de Santander Sun 18 Oct · 14:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. CA Osasuna and Real Racing Club de Santander had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

2. SC Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar Sun 18 Oct · 14:30 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between SC Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar pointed to a lively one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

3. RB Salzburg v Rheindorf Altach Sun 18 Oct · 14:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. RB Salzburg and Rheindorf Altach had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

4. Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol Sun 18 Oct · 14:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Wolfsberger AC and WSG Tirol had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-2. That one came in.

5. Leeds United v Manchester United Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Leeds United and Manchester United had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

6. Bournemouth v Sunderland Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.35

We were on the quiet side here. Bournemouth and Sunderland had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 3.5. At 1.35 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

7. Angers v Marseille Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Angers and Marseille had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-5. That one came in.

8. Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Brighton and Hove Albion and Crystal Palace pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 5-0. That one came in.

9. Fiorentina v Como Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Fiorentina and Como had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-3. That one came in.

10. Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg Sun 18 Oct · 15:30 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.35

We were on the quiet side here. The read on Bayer Leverkusen against SC Freiburg was a low-scoring one, and at 1.35 it was a short one for Under 4.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

11. Celta Vigo v Alavés Sun 18 Oct · 16:15 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.21

We were on the quiet side here. Celta Vigo and Alavés had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 3.5. At 1.21 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

12. Groningen v Ajax Sun 18 Oct · 16:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Groningen and Ajax pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-5. That one came in.

13. Sturm Graz v Grazer AK Sun 18 Oct · 17:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Sturm Graz and Grazer AK had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 6-1. That one came in.

14. Paris FC v Rennes Sun 18 Oct · 17:15 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Paris FC and Rennes pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 4-3. That one came in.

15. Le Havre v Auxerre Sun 18 Oct · 17:15 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Le Havre and Auxerre had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-3. That one came in.

16. Lorient v AS Monaco Sun 18 Oct · 17:15 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Lorient and AS Monaco had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

17. AC Milan v Atalanta BC Sun 18 Oct · 18:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. AC Milan and Atalanta BC had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 3-2. That one came in.

18. Málaga v Real Sociedad Sun 18 Oct · 18:30 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Málaga and Real Sociedad had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-5. That one came in.

19. Racing Club v Independiente Sun 18 Oct · 19:45 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Racing Club and Independiente had kept their recent meetings tight — 4 of the last 4 had stayed under 3.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-1. That one came in.

20. FC Twente Enschede v FC Utrecht Sun 18 Oct · 20:00 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.35

We were on the quiet side here. FC Twente Enschede and FC Utrecht had kept their recent meetings tight — 4 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.35 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

21. NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard Sun 18 Oct · 20:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

22. Juventus v Lazio Sun 18 Oct · 20:45 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.15

We were on the quiet side here. Juventus and Lazio had kept their recent meetings tight — 4 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.15 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-3. That one came in.

23. Lyon v Nice Sun 18 Oct · 20:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Lyon and Nice had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

24. São Bernardo v Criciuma Sun 18 Oct · 21:00 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. The read on São Bernardo against Criciuma was a low-scoring one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for Under 3.5.

Full time: 0-1. That one came in.

25. Clube de Regatas Brasil v Botafogo-SP Sun 18 Oct · 21:00 SAST Under 4.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Clube de Regatas Brasil and Botafogo-SP had kept their recent meetings tight — 3 of the last 4 had stayed under 4.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-1. That one came in.

26. Grêmio v Cruzeiro Sun 18 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Grêmio and Cruzeiro had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-4. That one came in.

27. Fluminense v Santos Sun 18 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Fluminense and Santos pointed to a lively one, and at 1.20 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

28. FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew SC Sun 18 Oct · 23:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.35

We were on the goals here. FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew SC had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 2.5. At 1.35 that was a short one.

Full time: 0-2. Not to be this time.

29. Vila Nova v Grêmio Novorizontino Sun 18 Oct · 23:00 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.20

We were on the quiet side here. Vila Nova and Grêmio Novorizontino had kept their recent meetings tight — 4 of the last 4 had stayed under 3.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-2. Not to be this time.

30. Monterrey v Pachuca Mon 19 Oct · 03:00 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Monterrey and Pachuca had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

How the day went

Total published30
Won27 (90%)
Lost3
Void0
Awaiting result0
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