NOVELTY Daily Harvest

Wednesday 21 October 2026 · The morning after

15 picks. 13 settled, and it was a good day — 8 of 13 came in. Every one is listed below with the reasoning we gave at kickoff and how it actually went.

The picks

1. Lille v Galatasaray Wed 21 Oct · 18:45 SAST Under 2.5 @ 1.60

We were on the quiet side here. The read on Lille against Galatasaray was a low-scoring one, and at 1.60 it was a fair price for Under 2.5.

Full time: 2-4. Not to be this time.

2. Como v Manchester United Wed 21 Oct · 18:45 SAST Under 3.5 @ 1.67

We were on the quiet side here. The read on Como against Manchester United was a low-scoring one, and at 1.67 it was a fair price for Under 3.5.

Full time: 4-1. Not to be this time.

3. Aston Villa v Viking FK Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.25

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Viking FK pointed to a lively one, and at 1.25 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-1. That one came in.

4. Inter Milan v Shakhtar Donetsk Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.29

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk pointed to a lively one, and at 1.29 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

5. Sporting Lisbon v LASK Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.29

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Sporting Lisbon and LASK pointed to a lively one, and at 1.29 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-3. That one came in.

6. Real Betis v Feyenoord Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Real Betis and Feyenoord pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 1-0. Not to be this time.

7. Club Brugge v RC Lens Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.40

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Club Brugge and RC Lens pointed to a lively one, and at 1.40 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 3-0. That one came in.

8. Bayern Munich v Arsenal Wed 21 Oct · 21:00 SAST Both teams to score @ 1.45

We fancied goals at both ends here. In 3 of the last 4 meetings between Bayern Munich and Arsenal, both sides had got on the scoresheet — and at 1.45 that was a short one for the pattern to repeat.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

9. FC Cincinnati v D.C. United Thu 22 Oct · 01:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.25

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between FC Cincinnati and D.C. United pointed to a lively one, and at 1.25 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-1. That one came in.

10. Toluca v Tijuana Thu 22 Oct · 03:00 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.36

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Toluca and Tijuana pointed to a lively one, and at 1.36 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Full time: 2-2. That one came in.

11. Atlas v América Thu 22 Oct · 03:00 SAST Under 2.5 @ 1.45

We were on the quiet side here. The read on Atlas against América was a low-scoring one, and at 1.45 it was a short one for Under 2.5.

Full time: 2-5. Not to be this time.

12. Santos Laguna v Pumas Thu 22 Oct · 05:10 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Santos Laguna and Pumas had turned their recent meetings into open games — 4 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 2-0. That one came in.

13. Pachuca v Cruz Azul Thu 22 Oct · 05:10 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.20

We were on the goals here. Pachuca and Cruz Azul had turned their recent meetings into open games — 3 of the last 4 had gone past 1.5. At 1.20 that was a short one.

Full time: 1-2. That one came in.

14. Trabzonspor v Hearts Thu 22 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 2.5 @ 1.44

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Trabzonspor and Hearts pointed to a lively one, and at 1.44 it was a short one for the Over 2.5.

Pending — result to follow.

15. Pafos FC v Riga FC Thu 22 Oct · 18:45 SAST Over 1.5 @ 1.21

We were on the goals here. The recent head-to-head between Pafos FC and Riga FC pointed to a lively one, and at 1.21 it was a short one for the Over 1.5.

Pending — result to follow.

How the day went

Total published15
Won8 (62%)
Lost5
Void0
Awaiting result2
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